[2024] Post-Week 14 Elo Ratings

[tsweezy]

Continuing the elo ratings, after week 14 here are elo ratings, Strength of schedule (currently just an average of their opponents excising the weakest opponent), and Strength of record (how much better they're doing than a 25th ranked team would do against their schedule on average)

 

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Win-Loss Record	Strength of Schedule	SOS Rank	Expected Wins top 5	Expected Wins top 25	Expected Wins top 75	SOR rank
1	Baylor	1591.19	12-0	1233	50	9.35245	7.98561	5.33179	1
2	Tennessee	1542.93	11-1	1239.57	40	9.13383	7.77471	5.25225	2
3	Bowling_Green	1516.96	11-1	1182.06	102	9.73062	8.57279	6.18637	6
4	Tulsa	1507.1	12-0	1121.11	129	10.4729	9.50545	7.18042	5
5	Notre_Dame	1485.47	11-1	1220.65	59	9.60978	8.32562	5.6815	3
6	North_Carolina	1468.18	10-2	1197.84	88	9.6054	8.40148	6.00032	10
7	Nebraska	1462.85	10-2	1212.48	76	9.59387	8.31129	5.73321	9
8	LSU	1455.47	10-2	1184.59	98	9.77955	8.55744	6.02875	13
9	Kansas_State	1455.34	10-3	1222.65	58	10.4637	9.06386	6.13046	21
10	Toledo	1452.13	11-1	1212.99	75	9.6097	8.39488	5.8607	4
11	New_Mexico	1446.55	11-1	1181.58	105	9.95815	8.82953	6.3447	7
12	Kentucky	1439.49	10-2	1186.39	97	9.55926	8.42826	6.15251	12
13	Georgia	1436.46	8-4	1325.16	1	8.2518	6.72833	4.1548	17
14	Texas_State	1433.88	10-2	1136.89	124	10.3571	9.33666	6.94145	23
15	Washington_State	1433.86	9-3	1218.15	66	9.59555	8.33778	5.74772	24
16	Navy	1427.74	10-2	1181.97	103	9.75704	8.60641	6.23036	16
17	Duke	1411.27	9-3	1213.92	74	9.596	8.36359	5.82935	25
18	Virginia	1409.89	10-2	1105.12	133	10.4515	9.57148	7.46161	28
19	West_Virginia	1403.66	10-2	1218.88	62	9.3765	8.19482	5.82047	8
20	Central_Michigan	1397.68	9-3	1137.11	123	10.2475	9.22068	6.89745	37
21	TCU	1392.72	9-3	1274.71	15	8.99956	7.60238	4.9157	14
22	Georgia_Tech	1386.56	9-3	1269.24	19	8.99021	7.60582	5.00361	15
23	UNLV	1380.04	10-2	1172.1	111	10.0559	8.9355	6.4474	19
24	Colorado_State	1378.63	8-4	1207.22	79	9.75403	8.52751	5.91793	42
25	Marshall	1378.15	10-2	1112.16	131	10.5443	9.61616	7.35228	29
26	Western_Kentucky	1374.92	10-2	1123.02	128	10.2177	9.21193	6.97524	22
27	Mississippi_State	1374.9	9-3	1277.55	12	8.80834	7.41956	4.88189	11
28	Western_Michigan	1364.37	8-4	1173.81	109	9.86714	8.75739	6.41392	45
29	Memphis	1363.04	9-3	1214.47	73	9.63704	8.378	5.78092	26
30	Oklahoma	1362.71	9-3	1253.84	30	9.03881	7.7352	5.27032	18
31	Boise_State	1352.75	9-3	1218.03	68	9.64177	8.3957	5.78224	27
32	Wisconsin	1351.38	8-4	1249.51	32	9.18609	7.88869	5.34674	32
33	Texas_A&M	1345.64	9-3	1155.34	118	9.73848	8.75955	6.7315	30
34	UCLA	1337.01	8-4	1244.91	35	9.27331	7.95596	5.37343	33
35	Florida_State	1334.8	9-3	1217.2	69	9.30404	8.02981	5.62114	20
36	Illinois	1334.25	8-4	1183.8	99	9.77804	8.60191	6.14056	44
37	Michigan	1332.48	7-5	1215.13	71	9.78532	8.51086	5.77344	57
38	Stanford	1332.04	9-3	1134.95	125	10.2038	9.21645	6.95908	36
39	Indiana	1320.19	8-4	1245.25	34	9.22248	7.8501	5.22388	31
40	Purdue	1314.35	8-4	1218.69	63	9.5227	8.25213	5.70027	39
41	USC	1307	7-5	1306	3	8.57397	7.0732	4.41962	34
42	Alabama	1306.38	8-4	1180.62	107	9.52676	8.45535	6.32396	40
43	Southern_Miss	1305.51	9-3	1134.91	126	10.128	9.13236	6.9631	35
44	Ball_State	1304	7-5	1252.71	31	8.83139	7.51373	5.16632	41
45	California	1302.92	6-6	1186.53	96	9.93857	8.75878	6.19998	81
46	Utah	1293.05	6-6	1172.21	110	10.1011	8.98202	6.4523	85
47	Ohio_State	1291.5	7-5	1272.13	17	8.94568	7.55927	4.96542	43
48	Tulane	1291.46	7-5	1223.28	57	9.50532	8.22199	5.64703	52
49	Kansas	1290.69	6-6	1235.67	48	9.15539	7.93297	5.5675	69
50	Oklahoma_State	1279.05	7-6	1286.43	10	9.31234	7.80193	5.14534	46
51	North_Texas	1277.17	7-5	1199.36	85	9.4258	8.21509	5.89631	51
52	Ole_Miss	1275.88	5-7	1323.46	2	8.22698	6.73234	4.21787	64
53	East_Carolina	1269.06	6-6	1255.38	29	9.0732	7.74447	5.2239	65
54	Rice	1268.92	8-4	1165.91	113	9.94002	8.85797	6.55323	47
55	Penn_State	1268.34	6-6	1238.85	44	9.1638	7.79971	5.22407	66
56	Old_Dominion	1265.7	6-6	1156.37	117	9.95489	8.87568	6.59047	82
57	Georgia_Southern	1263.79	6-6	1209.2	78	9.51944	8.30712	5.86727	71
58	Texas_Tech	1262.15	7-5	1210.15	77	9.49906	8.35011	5.97502	54
59	Air_Force	1259.33	7-5	1182.54	101	9.81639	8.70115	6.33548	62
60	BYU	1259.04	6-6	1302.49	4	8.56275	7.1366	4.56	50
61	Appalachian_State	1255.74	7-5	1226.5	56	9.33247	8.03257	5.53414	49
62	FIU	1239.21	8-4	1083.45	134	10.5803	9.70774	7.60823	63
63	Louisiana	1234.19	6-6	1229.21	53	9.08935	7.8789	5.6204	67
64	Houston	1231.55	6-6	1275.6	14	8.96629	7.59919	4.9549	59
65	Umass	1229.57	6-6	1256.89	28	9.06553	7.69909	5.14994	61
66	Arkansas	1227.27	7-5	1230.04	51	9.11888	7.88461	5.58654	48
67	Northern_Illinois	1226.13	7-5	1196.64	89	9.57596	8.42633	6.09588	56
68	Maryland	1223.05	7-5	1200.4	84	9.788	8.61942	6.08715	60
69	UTSA	1218.9	6-6	1239.41	42	9.28397	7.97851	5.42798	70
70	San_Diego_State	1214.86	5-7	1273.53	16	8.91289	7.50344	4.91575	77
71	Florida	1214.5	4-8	1300.81	5	8.41958	6.95303	4.47716	84
72	Miami_(FL)	1211.29	6-6	1242.12	37	9.23193	7.91487	5.387	68
73	Temple	1209.79	6-6	1200.93	83	9.59403	8.41061	5.99943	74
74	Utah_State	1206.18	5-7	1284.55	11	8.8574	7.3891	4.70837	73
75	UTEP	1201.2	6-6	1128.86	127	10.1153	9.09938	6.89558	89
76	Middle_Tennessee	1198.88	9-3	1118.05	130	10.2296	9.23377	7.04304	38
77	Michigan_State	1181.12	4-8	1263.83	23	9.09686	7.70454	5.05046	108
78	NC_State	1180.47	5-7	1238.98	43	9.25365	7.9402	5.42577	83
79	Virginia_Tech	1173.06	5-7	1190.61	94	9.71691	8.55614	6.17499	101
80	Arizona_State	1172.14	7-5	1227.69	55	9.56196	8.26462	5.59315	53
81	Buffalo	1167.77	6-6	1183.04	100	9.5561	8.45403	6.27374	75
82	Nevada	1167.73	5-7	1239.54	41	9.31019	7.98968	5.41731	86
83	Louisiana_Tech	1166.53	6-6	1105.39	132	10.328	9.3726	7.23252	96
84	Ohio	1162.94	5-7	1269.51	18	8.99473	7.61323	5.00097	78
85	Oregon_State	1162.56	5-7	1218.37	64	9.54596	8.27414	5.69844	93
86	Washington	1161.05	4-8	1228.53	54	9.54365	8.24393	5.58459	120
87	Arizona	1157.31	4-8	1218.17	65	9.67534	8.40728	5.74421	125
88	Pittsburgh	1152.65	7-5	1193.01	93	9.74604	8.59415	6.17417	58
89	Auburn	1148.62	4-8	1296.03	6	8.62273	7.14588	4.55935	90
90	Eastern_Michigan	1141.88	5-7	1194.94	90	9.79995	8.60809	6.09253	103
91	Iowa_State	1141.18	4-8	1294.34	8	8.46539	7.06882	4.65293	87
92	Colorado	1137.21	5-7	1268.15	20	9.00689	7.66358	5.06886	80
93	Northwestern	1136.87	3-9	1236.88	46	9.44967	8.08857	5.38098	149
94	UAB	1136.44	4-8	1204.91	81	9.51958	8.33986	5.98347	122
95	SMU	1136.26	4-8	1239.78	39	9.03398	7.69192	5.27147	107
96	Cincinnati	1135.37	3-9	1266.55	21	9.02121	7.65389	5.05504	139
97	San_Jose_State	1132.7	5-7	1198.94	86	9.81611	8.61409	6.04672	104
98	New_Mexico_State	1126.86	5-7	1149.02	119	9.88664	8.8025	6.56973	110
99	Akron	1113.82	4-8	1219.9	61	9.40274	8.20184	5.80157	118
100	Rutgers	1112.48	3-9	1265.99	22	9.07145	7.68484	5.03544	141
101	James_Madison	1109.88	6-6	1186.6	95	9.8227	8.66033	6.21561	79
102	Louisville	1105.99	4-8	1168.76	112	9.77172	8.65832	6.38045	140
103	South_Alabama	1103.75	5-7	1144.05	120	10.0188	8.96444	6.73366	115
104	Liberty	1103.49	5-7	1156.44	116	9.67847	8.6354	6.53787	105
105	Minnesota	1102.35	3-9	1246.17	33	9.36856	7.99336	5.27608	147
106	Syracuse	1097.25	4-8	1193.34	91	9.63996	8.43352	5.99759	129
107	Oregon	1094.79	4-8	1276.02	13	9.1423	7.64586	4.76627	106
108	Wyoming	1089.63	3-9	1257.66	26	9.0181	7.64734	5.09985	138
109	Iowa	1081.63	4-8	1243.36	36	9.39741	8.05126	5.34959	117
110	South_Carolina	1081.28	3-9	1235.99	47	9.05913	7.77589	5.42779	143
111	Uconn	1079.01	4-8	1181.86	104	9.92039	8.77853	6.30993	144
112	Hawaii	1078.58	2-10	1260.88	24	9.03091	7.67675	5.128	159
113	Miami_(OH)	1078.48	4-8	1258.69	25	9.10185	7.76178	5.18214	109
114	Vanderbilt	1069.17	3-9	1193.12	92	9.38221	8.28983	6.19795	153
115	Coastal_Carolina	1068.46	4-8	1138.73	121	10.2743	9.25261	6.91391	150
116	Clemson	1063.99	2-10	1238.08	45	9.33538	8.01601	5.4345	164
117	Florida_Atlantic	1060.42	2-10	1204.9	82	9.63639	8.44715	5.97836	179
118	Charlotte	1053.3	4-8	1216.08	70	9.56749	8.31687	5.77605	121
119	Georgia_State	1052.58	4-8	1163.7	114	10.0032	8.87618	6.45909	146
120	Colgate	1052.54	9-2	878.114	156	10.6469	10.3649	9.4224	55
121	UCF	1051.35	2-10	1207.08	80	9.76356	8.53286	5.91203	180
122	Missouri	1035.1	2-10	1240.55	38	9.35732	8.02756	5.40141	165
123	Army	1023.48	2-10	1257.59	27	9.22048	7.85021	5.15067	160
124	Southern_Illinois	1021.42	8-3	837.245	185	10.7165	10.4874	9.70453	76
125	Troy	1008.82	4-8	1177.9	108	9.85016	8.70855	6.3098	142
126	Texas	994.261	1-11	1229.86	52	9.28887	7.98485	5.49104	183
127	Fresno_State	989.599	1-11	1290.94	9	8.63154	7.18263	4.64987	171
128	Wake_Forest	985.102	2-10	1234.24	49	9.32829	8.03661	5.51363	166
129	Louisiana_Monroe	983.981	3-9	1138.16	122	10.119	9.08453	6.82993	169
130	South_Florida	972.196	2-10	1220.31	60	9.23986	7.9839	5.62294	163
131	Mercer	970.498	7-4	862.465	166	10.4055	10.0813	9.25282	88
132	Boston_College	963.98	2-10	1218.05	67	9.62045	8.38457	5.79538	176
133	Bucknell	963.39	7-4	878.644	155	10.601	10.2909	9.29851	94
134	Kent_State	963.308	1-11	1295.39	7	8.70031	7.23986	4.59918	174
135	Georgetown	955.478	7-4	809.398	194	10.714	10.4878	9.74033	100
136	Holy_Cross	952.791	6-5	854.493	173	10.6695	10.4077	9.54124	126
137	North_Dakota_State	944.033	8-3	874.864	158	10.6264	10.3327	9.37531	72
138	Idaho_State	941.49	7-4	854.544	172	10.5323	10.2219	9.35189	91
139	Northern_Colorado	939.811	6-5	851.909	175	10.7031	10.463	9.64128	133
140	Indiana_State	933.336	6-5	926.526	136	10.3696	9.951	8.78971	113
141	Alcorn_State	931.059	7-4	830.839	186	10.5549	10.2691	9.48615	92
142	Western_Illinois	929.472	7-4	869.382	162	10.6515	10.3741	9.45129	97
143	Cal_Poly	919.257	6-5	840.686	181	10.717	10.4879	9.70293	135
144	BethuneCookman	918.469	7-4	811.933	193	10.6583	10.4126	9.67747	98
145	Portland_State	917.754	6-5	891.87	149	10.2704	9.91324	9.01434	111
146	North_Dakota	915.615	7-4	889.769	150	10.6281	10.3315	9.34323	95
147	Chattanooga	910.059	6-5	825.406	188	10.7054	10.4725	9.70189	134
148	Jackson_State	903.958	3-9	1156.83	115	9.99688	8.8716	6.46239	162
149	Northern_Iowa	902.71	5-6	895.492	148	10.5789	10.2552	9.22865	151
150	Illinois_State	899.144	6-5	859.759	167	10.6904	10.4407	9.58957	130
151	Eastern_Washington	899.106	7-4	859.568	168	10.683	10.4281	9.56574	99
152	Montana	898.342	6-5	915.608	141	10.377	9.96111	8.82464	114
153	South_Dakota_State	895.772	6-5	918.629	139	10.3313	9.92814	8.85048	112
154	Pennsylvania	885.182	5-5	849.898	177	9.63482	9.37015	8.57715	124
155	Southern	882.791	6-5	879.036	154	10.4145	10.051	9.08104	116
156	Furman	873.991	6-5	863.848	165	10.5521	10.2308	9.28459	119
157	UC_Davis	869.568	5-6	841.984	180	10.6787	10.4243	9.58281	155
158	Arkansas_State	869.158	1-11	1214.81	72	9.50562	8.27219	5.80576	186
159	Harvard	854.655	5-5	840.207	182	9.66739	9.41821	8.64757	127
160	Lehigh	851.132	5-6	917.882	140	10.2495	9.83456	8.76601	145
161	Yale	850.577	6-4	825.098	189	9.76014	9.56554	8.89496	102
162	Columbia	848.373	5-5	814.788	192	9.76683	9.57793	8.92855	136
163	Northern_Arizona	846.372	6-5	868.074	163	10.6482	10.3697	9.45079	123
164	Western_Carolina	846.206	5-6	922.37	137	10.0458	9.60672	8.59184	137
165	Prairie_View_A&M	843.612	6-5	847.589	178	10.6928	10.4464	9.6152	131
166	Youngstown_State	843.366	5-6	911.324	142	10.4051	10.0147	8.93058	148
167	Mississippi_Valley_State	830.795	6-5	829.329	187	10.6921	10.4485	9.64409	132
168	Texas_Southern	829.803	4-7	854.939	171	10.6615	10.3968	9.53321	177
169	Kennesaw_State	824.115	2-10	1181.41	106	9.73332	8.55318	6.14435	181
170	Missouri_State	823.521	5-6	910.948	143	10.586	10.2586	9.18401	152
171	Samford	813.645	6-5	842.317	179	10.6777	10.4243	9.59261	128
172	Grambling	807.954	4-7	855.052	170	10.6933	10.4465	9.60806	178
173	Dartmouth	789.611	4-6	817.382	191	9.73287	9.52396	8.84126	157
174	The_Citadel	778.446	3-8	871.637	160	10.4885	10.1524	9.21694	185
175	Florida_A&M	777.385	3-8	864.68	164	10.4676	10.1341	9.23216	184
176	Sam_Houston_State	777.193	1-11	1198.63	87	9.41814	8.31437	6.08233	187
177	Weber_State	776.158	5-6	871.523	161	10.6536	10.3777	9.45871	154
178	VMI	771.445	4-7	874.487	159	10.5186	10.1849	9.22298	172
179	Sacramento_State	764.528	4-7	896.235	147	10.4312	10.0668	9.06221	168
180	Princeton	763.589	4-6	820.372	190	9.76955	9.58199	8.9319	158
181	ArkansasPine_Bluff	762.084	4-7	859.009	169	10.5133	10.1944	9.30752	173
182	Alabama_State	754.859	4-7	883.576	152	10.1907	9.86662	9.06776	161
183	Fordham	747.587	4-7	922.317	138	10.5186	10.1485	8.98554	170
184	Idaho	744.393	4-7	896.744	146	10.4201	10.0493	9.02997	167
185	Murray_State	741.973	3-8	884.407	151	10.6325	10.3404	9.37151	188
186	Cornell	738.145	4-6	852.074	174	9.71698	9.48966	8.72139	156
187	Montana_State	737.63	4-7	879.041	153	10.6559	10.3799	9.44977	175
188	Wofford	736.895	3-8	898.583	145	10.2994	9.93132	8.98873	182
189	Alabama_A&M	728.004	3-8	850.05	176	10.6882	10.4386	9.59927	190
190	South_Dakota	720.068	3-8	877.154	157	10.6457	10.3637	9.42525	189
191	Lafayette	712.781	2-9	928.193	135	10.4163	10.0079	8.83241	192
192	East_Tennessee_State	698.445	2-9	905.068	144	10.2694	9.89651	8.94538	191
193	Jacksonville_State	669.805	2-9	837.708	184	10.7135	10.4824	9.69489	193
194	Brown	668.394	1-9	838.597	183	9.751	9.54887	8.8517	194