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Post Week 1 Elo ratings

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tsweezy

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Going to consolidate the thread. These are elo ratings for schools after week 1 (seeded based on end of last year + talent rankings)

Team Elo Rating Win-Loss Record Strength of Schedule SOS Rank Expected Wins top 5 Expected Wins top 25 Expected Wins top 75 SOR rank
Tulsa 1369.44 2-0 1062.95 124 1.51592 1.44327 1.30292 4
Baylor 1360.96 1-0 1175.94 107 0.71038 0.659528 0.557857 35
Tennessee 1343.4 1-0 1248.25 42 0.617977 0.560928 0.45418 8
Georgia 1335.97 1-0 1232.19 56 0.639551 0.583553 0.477179 11
Kansas_State 1331.81 1-0 1206.9 74 0.672395 0.618455 0.513565 19
LSU 1329.4 1-0 1147.15 117 0.743259 0.695706 0.598258 47
Georgia_Tech 1328.63 1-0 1228.96 61 0.643838 0.588077 0.481832 13
Bowling_Green 1326.14 1-0 844.01 163 0.943106 0.929034 0.895034 58
UNLV 1318.1 1-0 1206.1 80 0.673403 0.619535 0.514709 20
TCU 1314.15 1-0 1239.34 52 0.63001 0.573518 0.466923 10
Arkansas 1313.95 1-0 1259.43 33 0.602674 0.545022 0.43828 6
San_Diego_State 1312.68 1-0 1186.98 104 0.69713 0.645113 0.542126 32
Boise_State 1311.53 1-0 1231.92 58 0.639919 0.583941 0.477577 12
Oklahoma_State 1310.11 1-0 1187.48 102 0.696525 0.644457 0.541415 31
Notre_Dame 1309.72 2-0 1217.86 67 1.31666 1.2069 0.995597 1
Kansas 1308.1 1-0 1174.07 108 0.712593 0.661944 0.560513 36
Tulane 1305.66 2-0 1190.97 97 1.38287 1.27838 1.07249 3
Texas_A&M 1304.44 1-0 1153.13 112 0.736638 0.688373 0.58996 41
Washington_State 1303.44 1-0 1204.24 81 0.675754 0.622056 0.517384 21
Florida_State 1302.5 1-0 801.182 191 0.954977 0.943666 0.916043 83
UCLA 1298.95 1-0 1196.18 91 0.685844 0.632909 0.528966 25
Purdue 1298.76 1-0 1138.17 132 0.752995 0.706534 0.610612 48
Virginia 1297.37 1-0 1135.36 129 0.755998 0.709884 0.614459 50
Colorado 1293.69 2-0 1214.45 70 1.31994 1.21236 1.00531 2
Kentucky 1290.8 0-1 1280.78 26 0.57291 0.514419 0.408292 129
NC_State 1290.68 1-0 1173.06 110 0.713785 0.663247 0.561949 38
North_Carolina 1290.26 1-0 842.808 170 0.943476 0.929489 0.895682 60
Air_Force 1289.27 1-0 1172.75 119 0.71415 0.663646 0.562388 39
New_Mexico 1286.31 1-0 1150.2 114 0.739893 0.691975 0.594029 44
Michigan_State 1282.02 1-0 1163.03 120 0.725426 0.67601 0.576097 40
Western_Kentucky 1280.78 1-0 1290.8 21 0.558738 0.5 0.394431 5
Maryland 1280.55 1-1 1270.29 28 1.16209 1.05443 0.85755 98
Nebraska 1274.29 1-0 962.631 139 0.893324 0.868654 0.811591 53
Toledo 1264.66 1-0 1194.53 95 0.687885 0.635111 0.53133 27
Utah_State 1263.88 1-0 1212.01 72 0.665882 0.611489 0.506212 15
Washington 1262.74 0-1 1293.69 20 0.554631 0.49584 0.390463 124
Arizona 1260.93 1-0 1152.8 121 0.737006 0.68878 0.59042 43
Central_Michigan 1260.65 1-0 841.496 171 0.943877 0.929982 0.896386 62
Texas_State 1259.43 0-1 1313.95 11 0.525674 0.466735 0.36309 116
FIU 1257.45 1-0 1207.26 79 0.67194 0.617968 0.513049 18
Wake_Forest 1257.2 1-0 1189.36 99 0.694239 0.641981 0.538734 30
Pittsburgh 1255.6 1-0 1173.32 109 0.713478 0.662911 0.561579 37
Alabama 1253.96 1-0 1196.3 90 0.685684 0.632737 0.528781 24
Memphis 1252.65 1-0 1115.77 130 0.776193 0.732545 0.640803 52
Arizona_State 1252.5 1-0 1247.42 45 0.619114 0.562114 0.455375 9
Houston 1251.12 0-1 1242.93 49 0.625185 0.56846 0.461787 148
Virginia_Tech 1250.49 1-0 1190.34 98 0.693034 0.640677 0.537325 29
Wisconsin 1248.25 0-1 1343.4 3 0.483325 0.424881 0.324868 108
Old_Dominion 1248.14 1-1 1020.9 136 1.6239 1.55666 1.41879 142
Michigan 1247.42 0-1 1252.5 39 0.612183 0.554892 0.448121 141
Ohio 1246.31 1-0 1192.95 96 0.689825 0.637207 0.533584 28
Indiana 1246.25 1-0 1149.92 115 0.740208 0.692325 0.594425 45
Syracuse 1244.68 1-0 1210.33 73 0.668025 0.613779 0.508624 16
UTSA 1242.93 1-0 1251.12 40 0.614077 0.556863 0.450096 7
Florida_Atlantic 1241.84 0-0 nan 94 0 0 0 94
Florida 1239.7 1-0 1207.31 78 0.671873 0.617896 0.512973 17
North_Texas 1239.34 0-1 1314.15 10 0.525392 0.466454 0.362829 115
Nevada 1236.33 1-0 1153.09 113 0.736676 0.688415 0.590007 42
West_Virginia 1234.89 1-0 840.184 172 0.944276 0.930472 0.897085 63
San_Jose_State 1234.79 1-0 1179.62 105 0.706007 0.65476 0.552631 33
Ball_State 1234.42 1-0 880.907 153 0.930577 0.91369 0.873341 56
Western_Michigan 1232.19 0-1 1335.97 4 0.494003 0.435356 0.334311 109
Rutgers 1232.11 1-0 1136.69 133 0.754579 0.7083 0.612639 49
Auburn 1231.92 1-1 1254.82 37 1.21258 1.10052 0.892504 99
Illinois 1231.27 1-0 839.867 173 0.944372 0.93059 0.897253 64
Minnesota 1228.96 0-1 1328.63 7 0.504569 0.445773 0.343781 112
California 1228.78 0-1 1221.66 64 0.653412 0.598214 0.492327 156
Oregon 1223.73 0-0 nan 77 0 0 0 96
Navy 1222.13 0-1 1309.72 12 0.531742 0.472801 0.36874 118
Troy 1222.01 1-0 1129.18 122 0.762497 0.717151 0.622847 51
Northern_Illinois 1221.66 1-0 1228.78 62 0.644065 0.588317 0.48208 14
Rice 1219.99 1-0 1147.18 116 0.743227 0.695671 0.598217 46
Stanford 1218.96 1-0 839.254 176 0.944557 0.930818 0.897578 67
Boston_College 1218.1 1-0 1194.93 93 0.687383 0.634569 0.530748 26
Iowa_State 1216.33 1-0 842.302 165 0.943631 0.929679 0.895954 61
Oregon_State 1215.78 1-1 1072.35 126 1.48218 1.40953 1.27189 107
Ohio_State 1213.58 0-1 1309.72 13 0.531742 0.472801 0.36874 117
Southern_Miss 1212.45 1-0 883.936 151 0.929442 0.912305 0.871399 55
SMU 1212.01 0-1 1263.88 30 0.596521 0.53866 0.431981 134
New_Mexico_State 1210.64 0-0 nan 76 0 0 0 95
Utah 1210.33 0-1 1244.68 48 0.622817 0.565983 0.45928 147
Akron 1210.24 1-0 1201.02 84 0.679808 0.626411 0.522017 23
Penn_State 1207.31 0-1 1239.7 51 0.629533 0.573017 0.466413 149
Miami_(FL) 1207.26 0-1 1257.45 34 0.605402 0.547849 0.44109 137
Wyoming 1207.09 1-0 962.631 140 0.893324 0.868654 0.811591 54
Oklahoma 1206.9 0-1 1331.81 5 0.5 0.441262 0.33967 110
USC 1206.1 0-1 1318.1 9 0.519712 0.460792 0.357581 114
BYU 1204.24 0-1 1303.44 16 0.540727 0.481815 0.37719 121
Georgia_Southern 1201.99 0-1 1200.62 87 0.680306 0.626945 0.522587 162
Uconn 1201.02 1-1 1229.19 60 1.28628 1.175 0.963109 100
Georgia_State 1200.68 1-0 838.729 166 0.944715 0.931012 0.897855 68
Middle_Tennessee 1200.62 1-0 1201.99 75 0.678583 0.625094 0.520614 22
Louisville 1198.61 1-0 837.988 177 0.944938 0.931286 0.898246 69
Marshall 1198.11 1-1 1034.93 135 1.58487 1.51525 1.37585 131
UAB 1196.3 1-1 1196.07 92 1.36319 1.25935 1.05666 103
Duke 1196.18 0-1 1298.95 18 0.54714 0.488272 0.383281 122
Buffalo 1194.93 1-1 1202.79 82 1.35456 1.24759 1.03886 102
Mississippi_State 1194.53 0-1 1264.66 29 0.595443 0.537547 0.430882 133
Northwestern 1192.95 0-1 1246.31 46 0.620618 0.563684 0.456958 145
Liberty 1191.55 0-0 nan 131 0 0 0 91
Texas 1190.34 0-1 1250.49 41 0.614931 0.557752 0.450988 143
Texas_Tech 1189.36 0-1 1257.2 35 0.60575 0.54821 0.441449 138
South_Alabama 1189.35 1-0 837.367 178 0.945123 0.931514 0.898572 70
South_Florida 1188.41 1-0 1178.51 106 0.70733 0.656201 0.554207 34
Missouri 1187.48 0-2 1252.52 38 1.21857 1.10681 0.898969 188
Coastal_Carolina 1186.98 1-1 1077.45 123 1.47116 1.39827 1.26079 105
Louisiana 1179.62 0-1 1234.79 55 0.636095 0.579913 0.473448 152
Iowa 1178.98 0-0 nan 194 0 0 0 93
UCF 1178.51 0-1 1188.41 101 0.695389 0.643226 0.540081 166
Ole_Miss 1175.94 0-1 1360.96 2 0.458144 0.400386 0.303099 106
Clemson 1174.07 0-1 1308.1 14 0.534068 0.475131 0.370918 119
Cincinnati 1173.32 0-1 1255.6 36 0.607946 0.550488 0.44372 139
East_Carolina 1173.06 0-1 1290.68 22 0.55891 0.500174 0.394598 125
Louisiana_Monroe 1172.75 1-1 1202.52 83 1.33711 1.23476 1.03735 101
Miami_(OH) 1171.14 0-1 1280.55 27 0.573232 0.514748 0.40861 130
Colorado_State 1166.15 0-2 1299.68 17 1.09219 0.974471 0.764661 187
Eastern_Michigan 1163.03 0-1 1282.02 25 0.571157 0.51263 0.406563 128
Fresno_State 1153.13 0-1 1304.44 15 0.539298 0.480379 0.375839 120
Temple 1153.09 0-1 1236.33 53 0.634049 0.57776 0.471248 150
South_Carolina 1152.8 0-1 1260.93 31 0.600613 0.542889 0.436164 135
UTEP 1150.2 0-1 1286.31 24 0.565108 0.506469 0.400629 127
Appalachian_State 1149.92 0-1 1246.25 47 0.62069 0.56376 0.457034 146
Kent_State 1147.18 0-1 1219.99 65 0.655577 0.600513 0.494721 157
Umass 1147.15 0-1 1329.4 6 0.503458 0.444675 0.34278 111
Army 1138.17 0-2 1247.53 44 1.2331 1.12129 0.912327 189
Hawaii 1136.69 0-1 1232.11 57 0.639664 0.583672 0.477301 153
Charlotte 1135.36 0-1 1297.37 19 0.5494 0.490552 0.38544 123
Vanderbilt 1129.18 0-1 1222.01 63 0.652948 0.597722 0.491816 155
Louisiana_Tech 1115.77 0-2 1212.7 71 1.32614 1.21833 1.0103 191
James_Madison 1080.27 0-0 nan 127 0 0 0 89
Arkansas_State 962.631 0-2 1240.69 50 1.25418 1.14194 0.930638 190
Colgate 904.532 1-0 843.231 164 0.943346 0.929329 0.895454 59
East_Tennessee_State 901.273 1-0 825.325 180 0.948609 0.935806 0.904718 72
Samford 897.935 1-0 802.065 190 0.954758 0.943395 0.915651 82
Western_Illinois 896.317 1-0 803.683 189 0.954354 0.942896 0.914929 81
Idaho_State 895.68 1-0 804.32 188 0.954194 0.942698 0.914643 80
Southern_Illinois 895.175 1-0 804.825 186 0.954067 0.942541 0.914416 79
Grambling 894.075 1-0 805.925 185 0.953789 0.942197 0.913919 78
Eastern_Washington 893.147 1-0 806.853 184 0.953553 0.941906 0.913498 77
North_Dakota_State 892.191 1-0 807.809 183 0.953308 0.941604 0.913062 76
Indiana_State 890.146 1-0 809.854 182 0.952782 0.940953 0.912123 75
Pennsylvania 889.353 1-0 810.647 181 0.952576 0.940699 0.911757 74
Furman 888.465 1-0 763.773 193 0.96338 0.954079 0.931189 85
Alcorn_State 883.936 1-1 1008.68 138 1.61936 1.55339 1.41995 140
ArkansasPine_Bluff 880.907 1-1 1017.8 137 1.59157 1.5241 1.39003 132
North_Dakota 878.926 1-0 821.074 168 0.949789 0.937261 0.906806 73
Murray_State 876.815 1-0 783.856 192 0.959076 0.94874 0.923402 84
Dartmouth 870.71 1-0 846.454 161 0.942346 0.928101 0.893704 57
Youngstown_State 870.524 1-0 829.476 167 0.947432 0.934356 0.902638 71
BethuneCookman 862.73 1-1 804.591 187 1.90769 1.88455 1.82812 171
Cal_Poly 860.345 1-0 839.655 175 0.944436 0.930669 0.897366 66
Cornell 860.244 1-0 839.756 174 0.944405 0.930631 0.897312 65
Columbia 850 0-0 nan 111 0 0 0 86
Harvard 850 0-0 nan 169 0 0 0 92
Lafayette 850 0-0 nan 128 0 0 0 90
Brown 850 0-0 nan 118 0 0 0 87
Yale 850 0-0 nan 85 0 0 0 97
Jackson_State 850 0-0 nan 125 0 0 0 88
South_Dakota 846.454 1-1 851.773 160 1.88074 1.85137 1.78062 169
Western_Carolina 845.344 0-1 1369.44 1 0.446054 0.388726 0.292889 104
Sam_Houston_State 844.01 0-1 1326.14 8 0.508151 0.449316 0.347021 113
Southern 843.231 1-1 834.152 179 1.88464 1.85642 1.78871 170
Portland_State 842.808 0-1 1290.26 23 0.559513 0.500786 0.395182 126
Northern_Iowa 842.302 0-1 1216.33 68 0.66033 0.605569 0.5 159
Bucknell 842.219 0-1 1186.98 103 0.69713 0.645113 0.542126 167
Kennesaw_State 841.496 0-1 1260.65 32 0.601 0.543289 0.43656 136
VMI 840.778 0-1 1248.14 43 0.618134 0.561092 0.454346 144
Mercer 840.184 0-1 1234.89 54 0.635971 0.579782 0.473314 151
Idaho 839.867 0-1 1231.27 59 0.640774 0.584842 0.478503 154
Georgetown 839.756 0-1 860.244 159 0.937879 0.92262 0.885925 185
Missouri_State 839.655 0-1 860.345 158 0.937845 0.922579 0.885865 184
Sacramento_State 839.254 0-1 1218.96 66 0.656922 0.601942 0.49621 158
Montana 839.037 0-1 1215.78 69 0.66103 0.606314 0.500781 160
Mississippi_Valley_State 838.729 0-1 1200.68 86 0.680229 0.626863 0.5225 161
Fordham 837.988 0-1 1198.61 88 0.682816 0.629646 0.525472 163
South_Dakota_State 837.933 0-1 1198.11 89 0.683434 0.630312 0.526184 164
Texas_Southern 837.367 0-1 1189.35 100 0.694247 0.641989 0.538744 165
UC_Davis 832.836 0-1 846.454 162 0.942346 0.928101 0.893704 186
Holy_Cross 829.476 0-1 870.524 155 0.93434 0.918288 0.879806 183
Prairie_View_A&M 825.325 1-1 882.002 152 1.85965 1.82558 1.74426 168
Northern_Colorado 821.074 0-1 878.926 154 0.93131 0.914585 0.874597 182
Northern_Arizona 810.647 0-1 889.353 149 0.92737 0.909778 0.867864 180
Lehigh 809.854 0-1 890.146 148 0.927061 0.909402 0.86734 179
Montana_State 807.809 0-1 892.191 147 0.926261 0.908428 0.865979 178
Illinois_State 806.853 0-1 893.147 146 0.925885 0.907969 0.86534 177
Chattanooga 805.925 0-1 894.075 145 0.925518 0.907522 0.864716 176
Wofford 804.908 0-1 883.936 150 0.929442 0.912305 0.871399 181
Weber_State 804.825 0-1 895.175 144 0.92508 0.906989 0.863973 175
Princeton 804.32 0-1 895.68 143 0.924878 0.906743 0.863631 174
Jacksonville_State 803.683 0-1 896.317 142 0.924623 0.906433 0.863199 173
Alabama_State 802.065 0-1 897.935 141 0.923971 0.90564 0.862096 172
Florida_A&M 801.182 0-2 1091.7 134 1.47266 1.39686 1.25181 192
The_Citadel 783.856 0-2 869.773 156 1.86912 1.83712 1.76039 193
Alabama_A&M 763.773 0-2 865.848 157 1.87106 1.83953 1.7639 194
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