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[2023] Week 18 NFL Discussion + Playoff Picture


Piercewise1

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NFL WEEK 18

Thursday Night
Indianapolis Colts (1-15) vs Houston Texans (3-13)

Sunday Noon
Buffalo Bills (10-5-1) vs Miami Dolphins (12-4)
New York Jets (3-13) vs New England Patriots (7-8-1)
Pittsburgh Steelers (15-1) vs Cincinnati Bengals (13-3)
Baltimore Ravens (8-8) vs Cleveland Browns (6-10)
Detroit Lions (6-9-1) vs Chicago Bears (9-7)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-10) vs New Orleans Saints (3-13)
Carolina Panthers (4-12) vs Atlanta Falcons (4-12)

Sunday Afternoon
Denver Broncos (12-4) vs Los Angeles Chargers (5-11)
Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) vs Las Vegas Raiders (13-3)
Dallas Cowboys (11-5) vs New York Giants (3-12-1)
Green Bay Packers (6-10) vs Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Los Angeles Rams (14-2) vs San Francisco 49ers (3-13)
Seattle Seahawks (5-11) vs Arizona Cardinals (13-3)

Sunday Night
Philadelphia Eagles (7-9) vs Washington Commanders (15-1)

Monday Night
Tennessee Titans (13-3) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11)
 

AFC PLAYOFF PICTURE

1. Pittsburgh Steelers (15-1)
2. Las Vegas Raiders (13-3) 
3. Tennessee Titans (13-3)
4. Miami Dolphins (12-4) 
5. Cincinnati Bengals (13-3)
6. Denver Broncos (12-4)
7. Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)

Raiders have tiebreaker over Titans based on H2H (1-0)
Broncos have tiebreaker over Chiefs based on H2H (2-0)

Steelers have clinched the #1 overall seed, home field advantage, and a first round bye
Raiders have clinched a playoff spot; can clinch the AFC West with a win
Titans have clinched the AFC South
Dolphins have clinched the AFC East
Bengals have clinched a wild card
Broncos have clinched a playoff spot; can clinch the AFC West with a win AND a Raiders loss
Chiefs have clinched a playoff spot; can clinch the AFC West with a win AND a Broncos loss
 

NFC PLAYOFF PICTURE

1. Washington Commanders (15-1)
2. Los Angeles Rams (14-2)
3. Chicago Bears (9-7)
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-10)
5. Arizona Cardinals (13-3)
6. Dallas Cowboys (11-5)
7. Philadelphia Eagles (7-9)

8. Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
9. Detroit Lions (6-9-1)

Commanders have tiebreaker over Rams based on conference record (11-0 vs 10-1)
Eagles have tiebreaker over Vikings based on H2H (1-0)

Commanders have clinched the #1 overall seed, home field advantage, and a first round bye
Rams have clinched a playoff spot; can clinch the NFC West with a win OR a Cardinals loss
Bears have clinched the NFC North and the #3 seed
Buccaneers have clinched the NFC South and the #4 seed
Cowboys have clinched a wild card and the #6 seed
Eagles can clinch a wild card with a win OR a Vikings loss AND a Lions loss/tie
Vikings can clinch a wild card with a win AND an Eagles loss/tie
Lions can clinch a wild card with a win AND an Eagles loss AND a Vikings loss
 

RACE FOR THE #1 PICK
(I do not have SoS, so ties are not broken)

1. Indianapolis Colts (1-15) - belongs to Carolina
T2. New York Jets (3-13)
T2. Houston Texans (3-13)
T2. New Orleans Saints (3-13)
T2. San Francisco 49ers (3-13) - belongs to Miami
6. New York Giants (3-12-1)

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AFC definitely has more good teams, but they are also spread out more. Each division has a legitimate contender.

The NFC on the other hand is very top-heavy, but it's also clustered in the NFC East and West. NFC South and North do not have any real contenders in them (sorry guys).

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