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[2023] Post Week 16 NFC South Playoff Scenarios


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Tie breaks:

  1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
  2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
  3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
  4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
  5. Strength of victory in all games.
  6. Strength of schedule in all games
  7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed in all games.
  8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed in all games.
  9. Best net points in common games.
  10. Best net points in all games.
  11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
  12. Coin toss

Currently, the eight blanks at the top are because Atlanta and Carolina virtually have the same record across the board. In order to break the tie, we need to go down to the fifth tie break, which is Strength of Victory in All Games.

Currently, thanks to a win over Baltimore (7-8 as of today), Carolina owns this tie break at 0.333 to 0.283.

However, as a lot of this can change over the next week or two, I'm going to refrain from crunching too many numbers to figure that out.

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Appendix below:

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