Recruiting Insights Week 17

[tsweezy]

Instead of expected stars to grade the class, I have given each player a "rating" which should be an estimate of how good they will be as a Junior. This takes into account their overall and star rating for initial rating, and a theoretical progression over 2 years based on potential. This should hopefully strike a balance between high potential players who may end up really good, but only for a year or 2 vs. instant contributors with a lower ceiling. For some ballpark ranges, 5 stars are around 50-55 points, 4 stars and good 3 stars are around 40-50 and an "average" 3 star recruit is 38 or 39 points.

 

To get the overall score, just add up the players you're in solo lead for plus 40% of the stars you're in a battle for (so if you're the only name on a 4 star, a 3 star, and battling for a 5 star you get 9 expected stars) .

 

As we get to the home stretch, these "projections" are going to start looking more and more like the committed rankings. However, it's still nice to see how things would look if every croot signed today.

 

So red dots are just the sum score of the top-25 recruits, blue dots are all recruits, and yellow is the 247 score which assigns a much higher weight to your top recruits and very little to how good your 25th best recruit is.

 

 

Once again, you see the 247 score generally follows the same trend as just a cumulative score, but the notable positive outliers are those who went heavy on elite talent. 247 Definitely rewards having a few great players and a few bad ones instead of all "ok" players.

 

Next: Average rating vs. class score

 

 

Right means better recruits, up means more of them.

 

Lastly: an Update for the miles averaged for recruits:

Cal is staying at the top of the frequent flyer miles board.

 

Anyways, that's all the time for today! Be good noodles now, ya hear?

[subsequent]

Pretty happy with my score, honestly. My avg is pretty high despite lower number of recruits.