2021 Regular Season ELO

[Sarge]

ELO RATINGS FOR THE 2021 REGULAR SEASON:

These are the final results for our 2021 regular season. This ELO system is based off 538's and I will either post these ratings weekly, bi-weekly, or quarterly next season. In the near future I will attempt to do a composite score for SOS factoring in ELO and the True Win% SOS stuff to help us better identify who had the toughest road through the season. The higher the ELO rating, the better the team. I will also be attempting to implement a flat regression or a sliding scale regression based on inbound out bound talent. Because I have to adjust over 130 teams, it may end up being a flat regression/progression for every team because of the number of factors given new starters, changes in scheme, loss of talent, etc.

 

BIG BIG BIG thanks to @alexfall862 for making all of it work for me.

 

 

1 TULS	1726.405167
2 UKEN	1722.149768
3 FSU	1718.687757
4 WISC	1713.718606
5 TXST	1703.507592
6 UNT	1671.897391
7 BC	1669.523731
8 OHIO	1664.908594
9 BAMA	1655.381224
10 PURD	1655.274758
11 SDSU	1652.101193
12 UVA	1650.310765
13 BAYL	1645.520874
14 ILLI	1645.005777
15 TEX	1640.262421
16 FAU	1637.869349
17 APST	1637.041077
18 ZONA	1635.168723
19 ODU	1621.729131
20 TAMU	1610.636866
21 CINC	1607.880952
22 OREG	1602.313907
23 TENN	1598.229477
24 MIST	1589.267506
25 USAF	1584.425639
26 TROY	1583.609785
27 WMU	1577.523611
28 TLNE	1577.207189
29 ARST	1572.89131
30 MIZZ	1570.260013
31 ORST	1566.24642
32 CAL	1564.841382
33 TEMP	1564.370507
34 PITT	1561.795986
35 DUKE	1561.067302
36 UAB	1560.687114
37 NCST	1559.060016
38 MSST	1558.565552
39 AKRN	1557.120814
40 UNLV	1552.896931
41 UTST	1551.210172
42 FRES	1548.839023
43 BGSU	1543.945732
44 KSST	1541.884167
45 TCU	1540.712298
46 OHST	1540.465609
47 LT	1533.320205
48 STAN	1532.536288
49 RICE	1530.733989
50 GT	1529.73311
51 CMU	1529.683395
52 BYU	1528.231387
53 USC	1526.919285
54 MRSH	1525.480843
55 GAST	1525.249618
56 SMU	1522.655563
57 VT	1521.094222
58 WYOM	1517.719796
59 BALL	1511.168467
60 AUB	1506.462821
61 RUTG	1504.277125
62 COLO	1502.773514
63 IAST	1496.408243
64 UNM	1495.159159
65 UMD	1494.518423
66 UCLA	1494.404778
67 MTSU	1491.996243
68 PNST	1487.472497
69 UTSA	1483.136191
70 OKST	1482.2275
71 NAVY	1480.436819
72 ARK	1476.147212
73 MASS	1475.620021
74 MINN	1474.41775
75 SOCA	1474.065973
76 GASO	1471.808941
77 LOU	1470.841666
78 ECU	1470.216744
79 ARMY	1469.425754
80 CCU	1467.48314
81 MICH	1457.595704
82 NEV	1456.758327
83 FLA	1456.129912
84 FIU	1454.397012
85 CSU	1454.230736
86 EMU	1451.533999
87 ULL	1449.908849
88 KENT	1447.700675
89 WASH	1447.308873
90 IOWA	1444.703513
91 UNC	1442.418755
92 ND	1441.510488
93 KANS	1440.415355
94 WVU	1440.387491
95 MISS	1438.784198
96 SJSU	1437.815472
97 AZST	1430.000336
98 MEMP	1427.021496
99 UCF	1425.341239
100 WKU	1418.082067
101 MIAO	1417.887547
102 IND	1416.911365
103 NILL	1414.169533
104 NW	1410.55886
105 LU	1410.140658
106 NMSU	1409.645424
107 BUFF	1408.574191
108 LSU	1407.548226
109 USF	1394.265572
110 OKLA	1388.711705
111 USA	1385.683747
112 WAST	1385.13127
113 WAKE	1380.643218
114 CONN	1379.276241
115 MIAF	1377.312972
116 BOIS	1371.076659
117 CLEM	1369.77787
118 UHOU	1365.184546
119 CUSE	1362.680307
120 NEB	1355.097378
121 ULM	1350.067847
122 USM	1349.66452
123 TLDO	1346.630016
124 HAWI	1345.661167
125 UTAH	1341.737829
126 UGA	1337.9694
127 CHAR	1329.695252
128 TTU	1312.819053
129 VAND	1298.527098
130 UTEP	1296.660177

 

Here's a fancy chart for UGA and how our ELO went throughout the season:

 

Here's another example for Tennessee:

 

Another chart for Tennessee with their performance against the spread (our ELO system provides) this season:

 

In future weeks I will feature teams who I find interesting and use some of the models to explain why they're underachieving, overachieving, or right where they need to be.

 

Stay tuned for another post on the development of the Degenerates Corner!

[tsweezy]

I didn't even have to delve in to get insights. Spread busters!

Also negative shout out to UTEP, keeping VANDY out of their rightful place at the bottom of every ranking