Recruiting Insights Week 14

[tsweezy]

I know what you're here for.

 

Instead of expected stars to grade the class, I have given each player a "rating" which should be an estimate of how good they will be as a Junior. This takes into account their overall and star rating for initial rating, and a theoretical progression over 2 years based on potential. This should hopefully strike a balance between high potential players who may end up really good, but only for a year or 2 vs. instant contributors with a lower ceiling. For some ballpark ranges, 5 stars are around 50-55 points, 4 stars and good 3 stars are around 40-50 and an "average" 3 star recruit is 38 or 39 points.

 

To get the overall score, just add up the players you're in solo lead for plus 40% of the stars you're in a battle for (so if you're the only name on a 4 star, a 3 star, and battling for a 5 star you get 9 expected stars) .

 

This week, the blue dots (and the order of the x-axis) is this weeks expectation, and red is last weeks. An increase means that that school is now listed on more or on better recruits than last week, and a decrease means they lost their lead on recruit(s).

 

 

As usual, a fair amount of movement but y'all can peruse to your hearts content.

 

However, I will note that a lot of the upper teams in this graph are partially because they have a lot of recruits that they're leading on, in some cases more than the 25 scholarships they have available! With that in mind, here is a second chart comparing their class score here to the average recruit. (Upper right is better), further right means better average recruits and higher up means more of them.

 

There's a lot to parse here and it's not the highest quality graphic, but still nice to look at imo.

Now you might be thinking "wow tsweezy, awfully convenient that you're picking ratings and methodologies that make your class score really highly".

To that I say... duh. These ratings guided my own crooting strategy so obviously I'll score higher based on them than teams that have different priorities. In the absence of hard numbers and true knowledge of the importance of stars vs. potential this is the best I can do so complain or brag as you wish.

Also be good noodles pls.

[SageBow]

Utah on the rise!

[Rocketcan]

I think we should use this metric moving forward. It eliminates confusion on who has the best crooting class. It's just always Tennessee.