Recruiting insights week 13

[tsweezy]

Not so much movement this most recent week. A couple jumps but overall things are relatively steady.

 

Instead of expected stars to grade the class, I have given each player a "rating" which should be an estimate of how good they will be as a Junior. This takes into account their overall and star rating for initial rating, and a theoretical progression over 2 years based on potential. This should hopefully strike a balance between high potential players who may end up really good, but only for a year or 2 vs. instant contributors with a lower ceiling. For some ballpark ranges, 5 stars are around 50-55 points, 4 stars and good 3 stars are around 40-50 and an "average" 3 star recruit is 38 or 39 points.

 

To get the overall score, just add up the players you're in solo lead for plus 40% of the stars you're in a battle for (so if you're the only name on a 4 star, a 3 star, and battling for a 5 star you get 9 expected stars) .

 

This week, the blue dots (and the order of the x-axis) is this weeks expectation, and red is last weeks. An increase means that that school is now listed on more or on better recruits than last week, and a decrease means they lost their lead on recruit(s).

 

 

The top-2 have come back to earth a little bit this week, while Nebraska made a huge jump up to 3! Other than that the top-10 stayed the same with slight rearranging, and Texas State and Penn State also made big jumps.

For those curious, there are 65 teams in the user pool who have been active and shown on this chart, with the average number of croots per school (median) around 17/18 at the moment.

 

Here's another chart for you showcasing potential finders vs. star chasing:

 

 

I know it's hard to read, and I wish I had a median line, but the idea is that bubbles that are higher have higher potential players for the number of stars they have, and distance from the origin should be about how good the class is. Willing to hear more about how to represent this better though.

 

That's all for this week! Good noodles only next week.

[rabidsnowman]

Central Michigan playing chess while the rest of us are playing checkers.