Recruiting Insights Week 7

[tsweezy]

Hello all, and welcome to the new week. We're switching up some things here, and officially starting the race for the recruiting crown awarded by me.

 

Previously, I was using expected stars per school. That basically shows what classes would look like if everybody signed right now. This is just adding up the players you're in solo lead for plus 40% of the stars you're in a battle for (so if you're the only name on a 4 star, a 3 star, and battling for a 5 star you get 9 expected stars) .

 

Now, instead of stars, I have given each player a "rating" which should be an estimate of how good they will be as a Junior. This takes into account their overall and star rating for initial rating, and a theoretical progression over 2 years based on potential. This should hopefully strike a balance between high potential players who may end up really good, but only for a year or 2 vs. instant contributors with a lower ceiling. For some ballpark ranges, 5 stars are around 50-55 points, 4 stars and good 3 stars are around 40-50 and an "average" 3 star recruit is 38 or 39 points.

 

With that in mind, below is the chart for schools and their rankings! Order on the X-axis is just how well each school did in week 6 by the stars metric, so schools above their "trendline" are schools that seem to be going after higher potential, lower ranked recruits.

Some insights here.

Kansas is obviously still number 1 with 35 recruits ready to sign with them. Hopefully they're ok with getting the "processing" label as they turn some of these kids away in the end.

Number 2 is now Kentucky! Glad I no longer neglected to add them here as they've been doing a great job.

Some other notable schools that are going the "potential" route seem to be Purdue, CMU, Nebraska, Arizona, and SDSU.

On the flip side, some of the "star chaser" schools are Oregon, Tulsa, and Kansas State. We will see which strategy turns out well in the long run.

 

In other news: SEC still has the best conference average thanks to having 3 of the top-7 recruiting classes.

[Gigemags]

"In other news: SEC still has the best conference average thanks to having 3 of the top-7 recruiting classes."

 

and 4 of the top 11

[Sarge]

5 of top 16